61–76%average drop in estimated NO2 emissions on a closed arterial, across three arterials and 12 random seeds
12/12seeds where estimated NO2 emissions rose on both parallel detours when SE Powell closed
The traffic doesn't disappear when a street closes. It reroutes, and the pollution goes with it.
In the model, SE Division and SE Holgate picked up about 32 and 42 percent more estimated NO2 emissions on
average. That's the kind of thing a transportation planner wants to know before the lane closes
rather than after.
A static land-use model cannot show this: its inputs do not change when a road closes, so it
predicts zero change on every segment. The comparison is model against model, because Portland
has no dense sensor network to check either one against.